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Resource Wars - Can We Survive Them
10 June 2007 - By Steve Lendman - scoop.co.nz
By Stephen Lendman - Global Research, June 6, 2007Near the end of WW II, Franklin Roosevelt met with Saudi
King ibn Saud on the USS Quincy. It began a six decade relationship
guaranteeing US access to what his State Department called a
"stupendous source of strategic power, and one of the greatest
material prizes in world history" - the region's oil and huge amount
of it in Saudi Arabia. Today, the Middle East has two-thirds of the
world's proved oil reserves (around 675 billion barrels) and the
Caspian basin an estimated 270 billion barrels more plus one-eighth of
the world's natural gas reserves. It explains a lot about why we're at
war with Iraq and Afghanistan and plan maintaining control over both
countries. We want a permanent military presence in them aimed at
controlling both regions' proved energy reserves with puppet regimes,
masquerading as democracies, beholden to Washington as client states.
They're in place to observe what their ousted predecessors ignored:
the rules of imperial management, especially Rule One - we're boss and
what we say goes.
The Bush administration is "boss" writ large. It intends ruling the
world by force, saying so in its National Security Strategy (NSS) in
2002, then updated in even stronger terms in 2006. It plainly states
our newly claimed sovereign right allowed no other country - the right
to wage preventive wars against perceived threats or any nations
daring to challenge our status as lord and master of the universe. Key
to the strategy is controlling the world's energy reserves starting
with the Middle East and Central Asia's vast amount outside Russia and
China with enough military strength to control their own, at least for
now. These resources give us veto power over which nations will or
won't get them and assures Big Oil gets the lion's share of the
profits.
In Iraq, the new "Hydrocarbon Law," if it passes the puppet
parliament, is a shameless scheme to rape and plunder the country's
oil treasure. It's a blueprint for privatization giving foreign
investors (meaning US and UK mainly) a bonanza of resources, leaving
Iraqis a sliver for themselves. Its complex provisions give the Iraqi
National Oil Company exclusive control of just 17 of the country's 80
known oil fields with all yet-to-be-discovered deposits set aside for
foreign investors. It's even worse with Big Oil free to expropriate
all earnings with no obligation to invest anything in Iraq's economy,
partner with Iraqi companies, hire local workers, respect union
rights, or share new technologies. Foreign investors would be granted
long-term contracts up to 35 years, dispossessing Iraq of its own
resources in a scheme to steal them.
That's what launched our road to war in 1991 having nothing to do with
Saddam threatening anyone. It hasn't stopped since. The Bush
(preventive war) Doctrine spelled out our intentions in June, 2002. It
then became NSS policy in September getting us directly embroiled in
the Middle East and Central Asia and indirectly with proxy forces in
countries like Somalia so other oil-rich African nations (like Sudan)
get the message either accede to our will or you're next in the target
queue.
With the world's energy supplies finite, the US heavily dependent on
imports, and "peak oil" near or approaching, "security" for America
means assuring a sustainable supply of what we can't do without. It
includes waging wars to get it, protect it, and defend the maritime
trade routes over which it travels. That means energy's partnered
with predatory New World Order globalization, militarism, wars,
ecological recklessness, and now an extremist US administration
willing to risk Armageddon for world dominance. Central to its
plan is first controlling essential resources everywhere, at any cost,
starting with oil and where most of it is located in the Middle East
and Central Asia.
The New "Great Game" and Perils From It
The new "Great Game's" begun, but this time the stakes are greater
than ever as explained above. The old one lasted nearly 100 years
pitting the British empire against Tsarist Russia when the issue
wasn't oil. This time, it's the US with help from Israel, Britain, the
West, and satellite states like Japan, South Korea and Taiwan
challenging Russia and China with today's weapons and technology on
both sides making earlier ones look like toys. At stake is more
than oil. It's planet earth with survival of all life on it issue
number one twice over.
Resources and wars for them means militarism is increasing, peace
declining, and the planet's ability to sustain life front and center,
if anyone's paying attention. They'd better be because beyond the
point of no return, there's no second chance the way Einstein
explained after the atom was split. His famous quote on future wars
was : "I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but
World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones."
Under a worst case scenario, it's more dire than that. There may be
nothing left but resilient beetles and bacteria in the wake of a
nuclear holocaust meaning even a new stone age is way in the future,
if at all. The threat is real and once nearly happened during the
Cuban Missile Crisis in October, 1962. We later learned a miracle
saved us at the 40th anniversary October, 2002 summit meeting in
Havana attended by the US and Russia along with host country Cuba. For
the first time, we were told how close we came to nuclear Armageddon.
Devastation was avoided only because Soviet submarine captain Vasily
Arkhipov countermanded his order to fire nuclear-tipped torpedos when
Russian submarines were attacked by US destroyers near Kennedy's
"quarantine" line. Had he done it, only our imagination can speculate
what might have followed and whether planet earth, or at least a big
part of it, would have survived.
Now we're back to square one, but this time a rogue administration,
with 19 months left in office, marauds the earth endangering all life
on it. It claims a unilateral right in its Nuclear Policy Review
of December, 2001 to use first strike nuclear weapons as part of our
"imperial grand strategy" to rule the world through discretionary
preventive wars against nations we claim threaten our security,
because we said so.
Orwell would love words like "security" and "stability" meaning we're
boss so other countries better subordinate their interests to ours, or
else. To avoid misunderstandings, we spell it out further. The May,
2000 Joint Vision 2020 claims a unilateral right to control all land,
surface and sub-surface sea, air, space, electromagnetic spectrum and
information systems. It gives us the right to use overwhelming force
against any nation challenging our dominance with all present and
future weapons in our arsenal including powerful nuclear ones.
Here's the danger. The Bush administration effectively threw out the
1970 Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) over 180 nations are
signatories to including the US. Under NPT's Article VI, nuclear
nations pledged to make "good faith" efforts to eliminate nuclear
weapons because having them heightens the risk they'll be used
endangering the planet. That doesn't concern Washington now developing
new ones, ignoring the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty. It's no longer
hampered by the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty either, and it rescinded
and subverted the Biological and Toxic Weapons Convention. In
addition, it won't consider a Fissile Material Cutoff Treaty
preventing additions to present stockpiles already way too high, and
spends more on its military than the rest of the world combined, plans
big future increases, and is unrestrained using the weapons it has.
As things now stand, that's an agenda for disaster according to former
NATO planner, Michael McGwire. He thinks "a nuclear exchange is
ultimately inevitable" by intent, accident or because, sooner or
later, terrorist/rogue groups will get hold of nuclear weapons or
materials and use them. Harvard international relations specialist
Graham Allison agrees in his 2004 book, "Nuclear Terrorism," saying
"consensus in the national security community (is that a) dirty bomb
(attack is) inevitable," and/or one with nuclear bombs, unless all
fissionable materials are secured. At present they're not.
This raises the specter Noam Chomsky developed in his 2003 book,
"Hegemony or Survival." Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez admired it
enough to hold it up during his impassioned September, 2006 speech
before the UN General Assembly. In the book, Chomsky cited the work of
Ernst Mayr he called "one of the great figures of contemporary
biology" who said human higher intelligence is no guarantee of our
survival. He noted beetles and bacteria have been far more successful
surviving than we're likely to be, especially since "the average life
expectancy of a species is about 100,000 years" or about how long
we've been around.
Mayr feared we might use our "allotted time" to destroy ourselves
taking planetary life with us. Chomsky observed we have the means to
do it, may recklessly try them out in real time, and if so, may become
the only species ever to deliberately make ourselves extinct. Chomsky
went further in his 2006 book, "Failed States," addressing the three
issues he believes are of greatest concern - "the threat of nuclear
war, environmental disaster, and the fact that the government of the
world's only superpower is acting in ways that increase the likelihood
of (causing) these catastrophes" by its recklessness.
In the book, Chomsky raises a fourth issue heightening the overall
risk further. He wrote the "American system" is in danger of losing
its "historic values (of) equality, liberty and meaningful democracy"
because of the course it's on. And in his newest book,
"Interventions," he quotes Albert Einstein and Bertrand Russell saying
50 years ago when waging nuclear war was unthinkable under Dwight
Eisenhower: "Here, then, is the problem which we present to you, stark
and dreadful and inescapable: Shall we put an end to the human race,
or shall mankind renounce war?"
The Environmental Threat to Our Survival
Human activity has consequences for the environment. It's been mostly
negative in the face of technological advances that should be as
friendly to the earth as to the profits industrial corporations get
from them. Instead, the opposite is true because Wall Street only
cares about next quarter's bottom line, Washington wants
unchallengeable military dominance and the right to use it freely, and
threatening planetary life from wars or ecological havoc is someone
else's problem later on - provided there is one.
Jared Diamond, for one, studied the way societies fail or survive in
his 2005 book, "Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed,"
that hold lessons for the planet overall. He says ecological
devastation brought down earlier failed ones citing one or more
proximate causes:
-- deforestation and habitat destruction;
-- soil degradation through erosion, salinization or fertility
decline;
-- water management problems;
-- over-hunting and/or fishing;
-- over-population growth;
-- increased per capita impact on the environment; and
-- the impact of exotic species on native plant and animal ones.
In modern industrial states, add to these contaminated air, water and
soil from toxic chemicals, biological agents and radioactive
pollutants creating irremediable hazards threatening human survival.
And to these add the inexorable warming of the earth's air and surface
from fossil fuel burning greenhouse gas emissions causing:
-- arctic ice cap melting;
-- rising sea levels;
-- changed rainfall patterns;
-- increased frequency and intensity of weather extremes like floods,
droughts, killer heat waves, wildfires, and hurricanes and cyclones.
-- a plague of infectious diseases;
-- water scarcity;
-- agricultural disruption and loss of arable land;
-- as many as one-third of plant and animal species extinct by 2050,
according to some predictions; and
-- increasing disease, displacement and economic losses from natural
calamities like hurricanes, other extreme weather-related events,
lowering of ocean pH, reductions in the ozone layer, and the possible
introduction of new phenomena unseen before or never extreme enough to
threaten human life or environmental sustainability that will when we
experience them.
Is global warming a threat to the planet? The debate is over beyond
increasing state-of-the-art knowledge further. The scientific
community is almost unanimous except for outliers in it allied to the
Bush administration, Big Oil or Big Chemical willing to say anything
if it pays enough. These fraudsters spurn what scientific academies
from all G-8 countries plus China, India and Brazil acknowledged prior
to the 2005 G-8 summit in Perthshire, Scotland. Their alarming low-key
statement read: "The scientific understanding of climate change is now
sufficiently clear to justify prompt action. It is vital that all
nations identify cost-effective steps that they can take now, to
contribute to substantial and long-term reduction in net global
greenhouse gas emissions."
The Bush administration's failure to address what's now accepted as
fact means America may one day face the dark future Peter Tatchell
wrote about last November in the London Guardian after joining 20,000
protesters at a Saturday rally in Britain's capital. They "call(ed)
for urgent international action to halt global warming" with Tatchell
disturbed one million weren't in the streets demanding it.
He painted a grim picture of life in the UK with a glimpse of what's
ahead for the US and other nations, especially in coastal areas, if
drastic remediable action isn't undertaken soon. He began by calling
"unchecked climate change....likely to be a thousand times worse than
the horrors of Iraq. By 2080, England may no longer be green and
pleasant. Instead, we'll probably be living in a brown, sunburnt
country (like the Australian outback or US desert southwest)."
He described a scenario only Hollywood filmmakers might conceive -
scorching drought, unpredictable semi-tropical downpours, flash floods
with coastal cities waste-deep in water, rising sea levels and tidal
surges turning streets into canals "with much of low-lying London
becoming a British version of Venice," and all of London, Manchester
and Liverpool frequently swamped by rising sea levels and tidal
surges. This is the England he sees in less than eight decades unless
global warming is stopped.
And that's just "phase one" with a nastier "phase two" ahead in the
22nd century - "a Siberian-style ice age blanketing Britain and all of
Europe for most of the year, with blizzards so strong and temperatures
so low that food production will almost cease and our economies will
be just a shadow of what they are today." Already we've had a
foretaste, he noted, with recent European heat waves killing thousands
and many more devastated by flash floods.
Tatchell continued saying most climatologists predict a two to five
degree average global temperature increase by 2100 as things now
stand. That will produce all the devastating consequences listed above
an island nation like Britain won't be able to handle - loss of
"low-lying coastal and river estuary regions" shrinking and changing
the country's geography permanently and harming inland areas as well.
He noted researchers at the government's Office of Science and
Technology believe "catastrophic mega floods," having the negative
economic impact of a major war, can be expected over the next two
decades, and "lower-level floods will become routine causing around
($40 billion in) damage annually." Regular flooding in a country
Britain's size "could put two million houses and five to six million
people at constant risk" making homes uninsurable and unsellable
"causing a cataclysmic melt-down in house prices" in flood-prone
regions and a "corresponding astronomical rise in house prices" in
secure areas.
Further, millions of flooded out refugees will have to leave unusable
homes behind. With no ability to pay for new accommodations, they'll
need government help to get by. And businesses, too, will suffer. Many
will have to relocate to safer areas at great cost meaning job losses
will follow making things even worse. Power generating plants will be
hit as well including coastal nuclear reactors with potential
calamitous risks from that possibility alone.
Tatchell continued with much more painting an overall picture so dire,
Britain no longer will be a fit place to live in. But bad as that
prospect is, poorer countries around the world will fare even worse.
One billion people in river delta areas (the rice bowl parts of the
countries) of India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Indonesia, Vietnam, and
China will see their land disappear under rising sea water causing a
catastrophic drop in essential food production unlikely able to be
made up.
Sometime around 2100, forests will have died, plankton will be gone by
rising sea temperatures, and "these two important 'carbon sinks' will
no longer be able to absorb dioxide emissions. (In addition, higher)
sea temperatures will also release....vast amounts of
methane....trapped in the world's oceans....sending temperatures
soaring." Further, the disappearance of polar ice caps will raise sea
levels at least five meters removing vast areas of the earth's land
mass.
Now, imagine how much worse things may be in the US, facing future
hazards this great, with a land mass 39 times greater than Britain and
a population five times the size. Democrat and Republican leaders
ignore the threat meaning manana is someone else's problem.
A day of reckoning may be approaching faster than earlier thought
based on information Environment Editor Geoffrey Lean wrote June 3 in
the London Independent. His article is titled "Global Warming 'Is
(accelerating) Three Times Faster Than Worst Predictions' " according
to new "starting, authoritative studies." One of them by the US
National Academy of Sciences (NAS) shows CO2 emissions increasing 3% a
year now compared to 1.1% in the 1990s. It's causing seas rising twice
as rapidly and Arctic ice cap melting three times faster than
previously believed.
The NAS report is even grimmer than this year's "massive reports" and
worst case scenario by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
suggesting their forecasts of "devastating harvests, dwindling water
supplies, melting ice and loss of species (likely understate) the
threat facing the world." Another study by the University of
California's National Snow and Ice Data Center shows "Arctic ice has
declined by 7.8 per cent a decade over the past 50 years, compared
with an average estimate by IPCC computer models of 2.5 per cent."
Sum it up everywhere, underscored by these most recent findings, and
it spells apocalypse made worse with many governments having to rule
by decree to control chaos and disorder. It means democracy, civil
liberties, human rights and most essential amenities are out the
window in tomorrow's world sounding more like Dante's hell on earth
because today we didn't care enough to prevent it. Moreover, it's
wishful thinking imagining new technologies will emerge solving
everything. Nor will market-based economies where profits trump common
sense. How could they ever improve in the future what they've only
worsened up to now.
Change cuts both ways though, and despite the apocalyptic title of his
book, "Collapse," Jared Diamond notes his sub-title is "How Societies
Choose to Succeed or Fail" saying that better states his sense of
things. Ending an interview published in the spring, 2005 issue of New
Perspectives Quarterly, he says "We are in a horse race between the
forces of destruction and....a solution. It is an exponentially
accelerating race of unknown outcome (with his gut feeling being) it
is up for grabs." He continues saying we have a "fighting chance" to
solve a "crisis of unsustainability....if we choose to do so (but) It
will be fatal to our civilization, or near fatal, if we don't."
Nuclear Power Is Not the Solution
In the interview cited above, Diamond doesn't address nuclear power,
but he did in a July, 2005 public lecture in San Francisco. Mark
Hertsgaard featured his comments in his August 12, 2005 Tom Paine.com
and Common Dreams.org articles titled "Nukes Aren't Green." Diamond
surprised his audience saying global warming is so grave "we need
everything available to us, including nuclear power" to deal with it,
disagreeing with most environmentalists believing otherwise and then
some.
Nuclear power won't solve, or even alleviate global warming, according
to Helen Caldicott in her important 2006 book, "Nuclear Power Is Not
the Answer." That's aside from the catastrophic consequences from
commercial reactor malfunction-caused meltdowns, terror attacks on
them with the same result, or fissionable material falling into the
wrong hands and used against us. Caldicott explained, contrary to
government and industry propaganda, nuclear power generation
discharges significant greenhouse gas emissions plus hundreds of
thousands of curies of deadly radioactive gases and other radioactive
elements into the environment every year.
The 103 US nuclear power plants are also sitting ducks to retaliatory
terror attacks experts say will happen sooner or later. It means if
one of Chicago's 11 operating commercial reactors melts down from
malfunction or attack, and the city is downwind from the fallout, the
entire area will become uninhabitable forever and would have to be
evacuated quickly with all possessions, including homes, left behind
and lost.
Caldicott explains much more noting commercial plants are atom bomb
factories. A 1000 megawatt reactor produces 500 pounds of plutonium
annually while only 10 pounds of this most toxic of all substances are
needed for a bomb powerful enough to devastate a large city. She also
exposes the myth that nuclear energy is "cleaner and greener."
Although commercial reactors emit no carbon dioxide (CO2), the primary
greenhouse gas causing global warming, they require a vast
infrastructure, called the nuclear fuel cycle, which uses huge and
rapidly growing amounts of fossil fuels. Each stage in the cycle adds
to the problem starting with the largest and unavoidable energy needed
to mine and mill uranium fuel needing fossil fuel to do it. Then there
are the tail millings and what to do with them. They require great
amounts of greenhouse-emitting fossil fuels to remediate.
Other steps in the nuclear fuel cycle also depend on fossil fuels
including the conversion of uranium to hexafluoride gas prior to
enrichment, the enrichment process, and the conversion of enriched
uranium hexafluoride gas to fuel pellets. Then there's nuclear plant
construction, dismantling and cleanup at the end of their useful life,
and all this requires huge amounts of energy. So does contaminated
water cooling reactors, and the enormous problem of radioactive
nuclear waste handling, transportation and disposal/storage. In sum,
nuclear power isn't the solution to global warming or anything else.
Its risky technology plays nuclear Russian roulette with planet earth
betting against long odds where losing means losing everything.
If that's not bad enough, Caldicott shows how much worse it is
summarized briefly below:
-- the economics of nuclear power don't add up for an expensive
technology, aside from the risks involved, the pollution generated,
and the cost of insuring commercial plants needing billions in
government subsidies private insurers won't cover.
-- the toll on human health to uranium miners, nuclear industry
workers and potentially everyone living close to reactors including
those downwind from them.
-- accidental or terrorist-induced nuclear core meltdowns, already
addressed, in one or more of the 438 operating plants in 33 countries
worldwide and huge numbers of new ones under construction or planned
increasing the danger further.
-- nuclear waste storage that in the US will be Yucca Mountain known
to be unsafe as it's located in an active earthquake zone unable to
assure no leakage or seepage will occur for the 500,000 years needed
to guarantee safety.
-- Newer planned so-called Generation III, III + and Generation IV
reactor designs even more dangerous than earlier ones now in operation
with plans to build hundreds of them worldwide despite the safety
risk.
-- the unacceptable madness of nuclear weapons proliferation assuring
eventually a rogue nation or group will have enough fissionable
material for a crude bomb and will use it with devastating
consequences.
-- the unacceptable threat of nuclear war causing nuclear winter
ending all life on the planet if it happens.
In light of Caldicott's convincing case, the solution seems clear for
friends of the earth and everyone else. Western and allied major
nations need a cooperative joint "Manhattan-type Project" to develop
safe, non-nuclear, non-greenhouse gas emitting, alternative energy
sources replacing ones now used harming the planet and threatening our
survival. In addition, conservation must be emphasized and wasteful
western lifestyles must change voluntarily or by law because there's
no other choice.
Final Thoughts
This article addresses reckless living unmindful of the consequences.
It's about endless wars and resources they're waged for. It's about
gaining control of what we can't do without, but must learn to, or
we'll risk losing far more, including the planet's ability to sustain
life. If we reach that point, it won't matter except to resilient
beetles and bacteria free at last from us. Instead of being an asset,
superior human intelligence has us on the brink of our own
self-destruction. It proves Ernst Mayr right saying greater brain
power won't guarantee our survival even though it may have helped him
live 100 years till 2005.
The human species teeters on the edge putting excess personal
gratification and living for today ahead of the long-term consequences
of bad behavior. That assures one day Nixon and Ford Council of
Economic Advisors chairman Herb Stein's maxim will bite us. Back then,
he noted "Things that can't go on forever, don't." He meant bad
economic policy, but his comment applies to all excesses, especially
the worst ones, and what's worse than endless wars, the threat of
nuclear ones, and the sure threat ecological havoc will destroy us if
nuclear war doesn't do it first.
We know this and can explain it in precise, sensible, scientific
terms, but what good does it do when we won't heed our own advice. The
privileged are rolling in good times, but look at the problem this
way. We're all at Cinderella's ball and have till midnight to leave or
turn into pumpkins losing everything. At this ball, clocks have no
hands, so guessing right plays Russian roulette with planet earth.
This article asks: can we survive our resource wars? The answer is
only if we stop waging them and start using our superior intelligence
to protect the earth, not destroy it as we're doing now.
*************
Stephen Lendman lives in Chicago and can be reached at lendmanstephen@sbcglobal.net.
Also visit his blog site at www.sjlendman.blogspot.com and listen
Saturdays to The Steve Lendman News and Information Hour on
www.TheMicroEffect.com at noon US central time.
Stephen Lendman is a frequent contributor to Global Research. Global
Research Articles by Stephen Lendman
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